SupaKeeper Plain comparisons of AI coding tools

Artificial Analysis vs Polymarket in 2026

Artificial Analysis, Polymarket and Model Odds compared on what each does, what each costs, how each is used and what to check before you pick one.

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SupaKeeper is published by LunarWerx, which makes some of the tools compared here.

Artificial Analysis compares AI models on intelligence, pricing, speed and latency. Polymarket is a prediction market. Model Odds ranks Anthropic and OpenAI model families by estimated release chance.

OptionOwn feeCard fee
Artificial Analysisnot publishednot published
Polymarketnot publishednot published
Model OddsFree [1]not published

The short answer

Artificial Analysis provides independent analysis of AI [2]. It lets users compare models on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more [2]. Polymarket describes itself as the world's largest prediction market [3]. Model Odds ranks Anthropic and OpenAI model families by their estimated chance of a release within 30 days [1].

For a developer who wants to compare models, Artificial Analysis's page covers comparing them on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency and benchmarks [2]. Polymarket's pages cover a prediction market and where trading is blocked [3]. Model Odds covers release odds for two companies [1].

What Artificial Analysis, Polymarket and Model Odds are built for

Artificial Analysis calls its work independent analysis of AI [2]. Its page says you can compare models side by side on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more [2]. Its Intelligence Index v4.3.2 incorporates 10 evaluations [2]. Its Coding Agent Index v1.5 incorporates 3 benchmarks [2]. It also keeps an Openness Index that assesses how open models are [2], and a Cyber Index v1 that incorporates 3 evaluations [2].

Its Model Recommender gives personalized recommendations across intelligence, speed and cost [2]. Optima lets you build your own custom benchmark [2].

Polymarket describes itself as the world's largest prediction market [3]. It operates globally through separate legal entities [3]. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market [3]. Its international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently [3].

What Model Odds is built for

Model Odds is made by the team that publishes this site.

It ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days [1]. Anthropic and OpenAI each get their own page that lists every past release [1]. Each past launch the model uses has to be confirmed by an official post and an independent timeline, and it is listed with its date [1].

The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches, and it takes into account how long the current wait has already lasted [1]. It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar [1]. The estimator can replay any past date without using data from after that date [1].

An API serves per-line odds, the launch record and service health [1]. You can sign up with a confirmed email to get alerts, and every subscriber gets every company's drops at the same time [1].

Pricing and fees

Artificial Analysis: the facts here state no price or plan, so its price is not published here [2]. Its pages mention pricing as something it compares across models, which is not its own fee [2].

Polymarket: the facts here state no fee, so its fees are not published here [3]. Trading is blocked in the United States on its main site [3].

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed [1]. No paid tier price is stated in its claims.

| Option | Own fee | Card fee | |---|---|---| | Artificial Analysis | not published | not published | | Polymarket | not published | not published | | Model Odds | Free [1] | not published |

Setting it up and daily use

Artificial Analysis: the facts here describe pages for comparing models [2], a recommender [2] and Optima for custom benchmarks [2]. They say nothing about installing it or an account.

Polymarket: its page says trading is blocked in the United States on its main site [3]. The facts here say nothing more about sign up or daily use.

Model Odds is a website with a public API [1]. It is a web app that runs in the browser and needs JavaScript [1]. Daily, you read the ranking [1], call the API for odds, launches or health [1], or rely on email alerts [1]. The website and the API share one snapshot that is cached for up to five minutes [1].

Things to check before you choose

Ask what question you need answered: how models compare today, or when a new model may arrive. Artificial Analysis speaks of comparing models [2], and Model Odds speaks of release odds [1].

Check where you live. Trading is blocked in the United States on its main site [3], and the international platform is not regulated by the CFTC [3].

Check which companies matter to you. Model Odds covers Anthropic and OpenAI families [1].

Check pricing and accounts on Artificial Analysis and Polymarket directly, since the facts here do not state them.

Check how fresh the data must be. Model Odds data is cached for up to five minutes [1].

How to choose

If you want to compare models on intelligence, pricing, speed and latency, Artificial Analysis's page describes that [2].

If you want to build your own benchmark, Artificial Analysis offers Optima [2].

If you want a prediction market, Polymarket describes itself as one [3].

If you want estimated release odds for Anthropic and OpenAI model families, Model Odds describes that [1].

If you want a free API for those odds with no account, its claims say that [1].

Frequently asked questions

What is Artificial Analysis used for?

Artificial Analysis provides independent analysis of AI [2]. Its page says you can compare models side by side on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more [2]. It also offers Optima, a product for building your own custom benchmark [2]. The facts here give no price for it.

Is Polymarket available in the United States?

Its page says trading is blocked in the United States on its main site [3]. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market [3]. The international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently [3].

Is Model Odds free?

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed [1]. Its claims state no paid tier, so the only price they give is free. It is a website with a public API [1]. Check the site itself for any later change.

How does Model Odds estimate release chances?

The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches, and it takes into account how long the current wait has already lasted [1]. It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar [1].

Does Artificial Analysis publish indexes for coding or cyber work?

Its Coding Agent Index v1.5 incorporates 3 benchmarks [2]. Its Cyber Index v1 incorporates 3 evaluations [2]. Its Intelligence Index v4.3.2 incorporates 10 evaluations [2]. The facts here do not cover pricing for these.

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [1]

Try Model Odds

Sources

  1. Model Odds' own description of itself (the product of this site's publisher)
  2. Artificial Analysis, artificialanalysis.ai, read 2026-10-08
  3. Polymarket, polymarket.com, read 2026-10-08

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