SupaKeeper Plain comparisons of AI coding tools

Best AI model release trackers for AI community managers in 2026

Compare 13 tools for tracking AI model releases, from prediction markets and leaderboards to news roundups, with questions to ask before you pick.

By SupaKeeper ยท

SupaKeeper is published by LunarWerx, which makes some of the tools compared here.

Start with the kind of news you need. Polymarket's page calls itself 'The World's Largest Prediction Market'. [1] LLM Stats ranks models by intelligence, speed and price. [2] Model Odds ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. [3]

OptionWhat the tool doesPrice as stated
PolymarketPolymarket's page calls itself 'The World's Largest Prediction Market'. [1]not published
ManifoldIts page lists market categories including politics, technology, sports, culture, business and fun. [4]not published
KalshiKalshi Pro offers perpetual futures markets. [5]not published
Artificial AnalysisLets users compare models on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more. [6]not published
Hugging FacePlatform where the machine learning community collaborates on models, datasets, and applications. [7]GPU compute starts at $0.60/hour. [7]
LMSYS Chatbot ArenaLets you compare 2 models side by side. [8]not published
VellumAssistant accessible on Mac, iOS, Android, web app, voice, email, Telegram, Slack, and terminal. [9]Cloud plans start at $30/month (Mighty), $100/month (Super), or $200/month (Ultra). [9]
Latent SpaceCovers how leading labs build agents, models, infrastructure, and AI for science. [10]not published
The Rundown AIPublishes daily AI implementation guides. [11]not published
LLM StatsRanks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2]not published
AI News by Smol AISummarizes top AI Discords, AI Reddits, and AI X/Twitters, and sends out a daily roundup. [12]not published
Epoch Models HubPublishes an open database of large AI data centers built from satellite and permit data. [13]not published
Model OddsRanks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. [3]Free, no account needed. [3]

What AI community managers need from AI model release trackers

An AI community manager usually wants to know three things. Which models are out, which are coming, and what to say when a release lands.

Those are different questions, and they need different tools. Prediction markets let people trade on whether something happens. Model leaderboards rank models that are already out. News services summarize what is happening across the AI world. A release odds tracker tries to say how likely a new model is in the next 30 days.

The limits are practical. Some tools cover many labs and many model types, and some focus on a few. Some are free and some charge by plan. A tool that covers many services may be more than one person managing a community needs, and a tool built for one purpose may not cover the others. Check whether a tool reports release timing, model rankings, or news, because none of the three stands in for the others. The sections below say what each source states and nothing more.

Polymarket for AI community managers

Polymarket describes itself as the world's largest prediction market. [1] Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. [1] Polymarket's international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. [1]

Manifold for AI community managers

Manifold's site carries a copyright notice naming Manifold Markets, Inc. [4] Its page lists market categories including politics, technology, sports, culture, business and fun. [4] New users are given 1,000 (Mana) to start trading. [4]

Kalshi for AI community managers

Kalshi Pro offers perpetual futures markets, which are markets for trading the future. [5] [5] Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. [5]

Artificial Analysis for AI community managers

Artificial Analysis lets users compare models on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more. [6] It maintains an Openness Index assessing how open models are. [6] Its Coding Agent Index v1.5 incorporates 3 benchmarks. [6] Check what the index measures before relying on its scores.

Hugging Face for AI community managers

Hugging Face is a platform where the machine learning community collaborates on models, datasets, and applications. [7] Its models page lists 3,137,122 models. [14] GPU compute on Hugging Face starts at $0.60/hour. [7]

LMSYS Chatbot Arena for AI community managers

It lets you compare 2 models side by side. [8] LMSYS Chatbot Arena lets you battle 2 anonymous models. [8] Its Agent Mode is built for complex tasks. [8]

Vellum for AI community managers

Vellum is free to download and start. [9] Vellum Cloud subscriptions start at $30 per month for Mighty, $100 per month for Super, or $200 per month for Ultra, with dedicated compute, storage, and bundled credits. [9] The assistant is accessible on Mac, iOS, Android, web app, voice, email, Telegram, Slack, and terminal. [9]

Latent Space for AI community managers

Latent.Space describes itself as a top technical AI podcast. [10] It covers how leading labs build agents, models, infrastructure, and AI for science. [10] The Latent.Space newsletter has over 203,000 subscribers. [10]

The Rundown AI for AI community managers

The Rundown AI library contains more than 300 practical AI use cases for automating real-world work. [11] The Rundown AI publishes AI implementation guides daily. [11] Rowan's Notes is a podcast hosted by Rowan Cheung, where he talks with experts in the AI industry about the latest developments and their role in the future of work. [11]

LLM Stats for AI community managers

LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] The LLM Stats Score aggregates GPQA, SWE-Bench Verified, coding-arena performance and pricing into one comparable ranking. [2] The Cheapest filter restricts results to verified, currently-available frontier models. [2]

AI News by Smol AI for AI community managers

The service summarizes top AI Discords, AI Reddits, and AI X/Twitters, and sends out a daily roundup. [12] The site provides a search feature accessible with the Cmd+K shortcut. [12] Users have the option to subscribe via RSS. [12]

Epoch Models Hub for AI community managers

Epoch AI describes itself as a research institute investigating key trends and questions in the trajectory and governance of AI. [13] Its stated mission is investigating the trajectory of AI for the benefit of society. [13] It publishes an open database of large AI data centers built from satellite and permit data. [13]

Model Odds for AI community managers

Model Odds is made by the team that publishes this site. It ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. [3]

Anthropic and OpenAI each get their own page that lists every past release. [3] Each past launch the model uses has to be confirmed by an official post and an independent timeline, and it is listed with its date. [3] It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar. [3] The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches, and it takes into account how long the current wait has already lasted. [3]

Signals read automatically from company SDKs and docs, and from third-party model catalogues when two of them agree, can only raise the odds. [3] The estimator can replay any past date without using data from after that date. [3] You can sign up with a confirmed email to get alerts, and every subscriber gets every company's drops at the same time. [3] It is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [3] It is a web app that runs in the browser and needs JavaScript. [3] The website and the API share one snapshot that is cached for up to five minutes. [3]

Matching the tool to the job

To see which models are out and how they rank, LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] Artificial Analysis lets users compare models on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more. [6] Hugging Face is a platform where the machine learning community collaborates on models, datasets, and applications. [7]

To see whether a new model is likely in the next 30 days, Model Odds ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. [3] It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar. [3] The published information does not include an accuracy figure, so the hit rate and error figure are not yet known.

AI News by Smol AI summarizes top AI Discords, AI Reddits, and AI X/Twitters, and sends out a daily roundup. [12] Latent.Space covers how leading labs build agents, models, infrastructure, and AI for science. [10] The Rundown AI publishes AI implementation guides daily. [11]

To build release data into your own tools, Model Odds has a public API that serves per-line odds, the launch record and service health. [3] It is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [3]

Questions to ask before you choose

Which question do you need answered: release timing, model rankings, or news?

Do you want a tool that covers many labs, or one that focuses on a few? LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] Model Odds covers Anthropic and OpenAI. [3]

How fresh does the data need to be? Check how each source updates its numbers.

What can you spend? Check each option's page for its current price before you commit.

Do you need the tool to cover a specific lab? Check each source's list of services before you rely on it.

Do you work alone or with a team? Team features such as shared dashboards may matter only in the second case.

Frequently asked questions

Which tool estimates when Anthropic or OpenAI will next release a model?

Model Odds ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. [3] It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar. [3] The published information does not include an accuracy figure, so the hit rate and error figure are not yet known. Each past launch the model uses has to be confirmed by an official post and an independent timeline, and it is listed with its date. [3]

Is Model Odds free?

It is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [3] You can sign up with a confirmed email to get alerts, and every subscriber gets every company's drops at the same time. [3] It is a web app that runs in the browser and needs JavaScript. [3] The website and the API share one snapshot that is cached for up to five minutes. [3]

Does LLM Stats rank models from multiple labs?

LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] The LLM Stats Score aggregates GPQA, SWE-Bench Verified, coding-arena performance and pricing into one comparable ranking. [2] LLM Stats rankings refresh continuously as new benchmark results land. [2] Check whether the ranking covers the labs you need.

How much does Vellum cost?

Vellum is free to download and start. [9] Vellum Cloud subscriptions start at $30 per month for Mighty, $100 per month for Super, or $200 per month for Ultra, with dedicated compute, storage, and bundled credits. [9] The assistant is accessible on Mac, iOS, Android, web app, voice, email, Telegram, Slack, and terminal. [9]

Does AI News by Smol AI cover model releases?

The service summarizes top AI Discords, AI Reddits, and AI X/Twitters, and sends out a daily roundup. [12] The site provides a search feature accessible with the Cmd+K shortcut. [12] Users have the option to subscribe via RSS. [12] Check whether the roundup covers the release news you need.

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [3]

Try Model Odds

Sources

  1. Polymarket, polymarket.com, read 2026-10-08
  2. LLM Stats, llm-stats.com, read 2026-10-18
  3. Model Odds' own description of itself (the product of this site's publisher)
  4. Manifold, manifold.markets, read 2026-10-08
  5. Kalshi, kalshi.com, read 2026-10-08
  6. Artificial Analysis, artificialanalysis.ai, read 2026-10-08
  7. Hugging Face, huggingface.co, read 2026-10-09
  8. LMSYS Chatbot Arena, lmarena.ai, read 2026-10-09
  9. Vellum, vellum.ai, read 2026-10-09
  10. Latent Space, latent.space, read 2026-10-09
  11. The Rundown AI, therundown.ai, read 2026-10-09
  12. AI News by Smol AI, news.smol.ai, read 2026-10-18
  13. Epoch Models Hub, epoch.ai, read 2026-10-26
  14. Hugging Face, huggingface.co/models, read 2026-10-09

Related comparisons