SupaKeeper Plain comparisons of AI coding tools

AI model release trackers for ML students in 2026

Compare Model Odds, LLM Stats, Hugging Face, Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi and more for tracking AI model releases, with questions to ask first.

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Start with the one thing you need from a release tracker: release timing, model quality, or access to model weights. Model Odds estimates the chance that Anthropic or OpenAI releases a new model family within 30 days. [1] LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] Polymarket describes itself as the world's largest prediction market. [3]

OptionWhat the tool doesPrice as stated
Model OddsRanks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. [1]Free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [1]
LLM StatsRanks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2]not published
Hugging FaceHosts more than 2 million models available to browse. [4]GPU compute starts at $0.60/hour. [4]
PolymarketDescribes itself as the world's largest prediction market. [3]not published
ManifoldPrediction markets in categories including politics, technology, sports, culture, business and fun. [5]New users get 1,000 Mana to start. [5]
KalshiKalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC. [6]not published
Artificial AnalysisLets users compare models on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more. [7]not published
LMSYS Chatbot ArenaLets you battle 2 anonymous models and compare 2 models side by side. [8] [8]not published
VellumAssistant that can send emails, manage calendars, browse the web, write code and run recurring tasks. [9]Free to download and start. [9] Vellum Cloud plans start at $30 per month (Mighty), $100 per month (Super), or $200 per month (Ultra). [9]
Latent SpaceCovers how leading labs build agents, models, infrastructure, and AI for science. [10]not published
The Rundown AILibrary contains more than 300 practical AI use cases for automating real-world work. [11]not published
AI News by Smol AISummarizes top AI Discords, AI Reddits, and AI X/Twitters, and sends out a daily roundup. [12]not published
Epoch Models HubResearch institute investigating key trends and questions in the trajectory and governance of AI. [13]not published

What machine learning students need from AI model release trackers

A machine learning student usually wants to know three things. When will a new model appear, how does it compare to the current one, and where can it be run. Those are different questions, and they need different tools. A release tracker tries to say when a new model lands. A leaderboard says how the models that already exist compare. A prediction market prices the chance that something happens. A model host gives access to the weights themselves. The limits are practical. Some tools cover many labs and many models, and some cover two. Some are free and some charge by plan. A tool built for one purpose may not cover the others. Check whether a tool tracks release timing, model quality, or access to weights, because none of the three stands in for the others. The sections below say what each source states and nothing more.

Model Odds for machine learning students

Model Odds is made by the team that publishes this site. It ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. [1] Anthropic and OpenAI each get their own page that lists every past release. [1] Each past launch the model uses has to be confirmed by an official post and an independent timeline, and it is listed with its date. [1] It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar. [1] The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches, and it takes into account how long the current wait has already lasted. [1] It is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [1]

LLM Stats for machine learning students

LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] The LLM Stats Score is updated continuously from public benchmarks and live API metrics. [2] Every LLM Stats score is sourced from public benchmarks and live API metrics. [2] The dedicated Open LLM Leaderboard filters the catalog to models with publicly released weights so you can self-host or fine-tune. [2]

Hugging Face for machine learning students

Hugging Face is a platform where the machine learning community collaborates on models, datasets, and applications. [4] Its models page lists 3,137,122 models. [14] GPU compute on Hugging Face starts at $0.60/hour. [4] Its Inference Providers give access to 45,000+ models through a single unified API with no service fees. [4]

Polymarket for machine learning students

Polymarket is a prediction market where people trade on outcomes. [3] Trading is blocked in the United States on Polymarket's main website, and United States users are directed to a separate Polymarket site. [3] Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. [3]

Manifold for machine learning students

Manifold lists markets across topics that include politics, technology and sports. [5] New users are given 1,000 to start trading. [5]

Kalshi for machine learning students

Kalshi describes itself as a prediction market for trading the future. [6] Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC. [6] Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. [6] Kalshi runs an incentive program. [6]

Matching the tool to the job

To estimate when Anthropic or OpenAI ships a new model, Model Odds gives a per-family odds figure for the next 30 days. [1] Its API gives developers the current odds, the list of past launches and the health of the service. [1] The API is free, with no account needed. [1] The estimator can replay any past date without using data from after that date, so a student can see how it would have judged an earlier release, though a replay does not show how it will do on future launches. [1]

To compare models that already exist, LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] Its Open LLM Leaderboard filters to models with publicly released weights. [2]

To run a model, Hugging Face hosts more than 2 million models available to browse. [4] GPU compute starts at $0.60/hour. [4]

To price the chance that a release happens, Polymarket describes itself as the world's largest prediction market. [3] Manifold gives new users 1,000 to start. [5] Kalshi describes itself as a prediction market for trading the future. [6]

To follow what the labs are building, Latent.Space describes itself as How leading labs build Agents, Models, Infra, and AI for Science. [10]

Questions to ask before you choose

Which question do you need answered: release timing, model quality, or access to weights?

Do you want a website you open, or a market you trade in? Model Odds is a website with a public API. [1] Polymarket describes itself as the world's largest prediction market. [3] Kalshi describes itself as a prediction market for trading the future. [6]

How fresh does the data need to be? The Model Odds website and API share one snapshot that is cached for up to five minutes. [1] Check how each other source updates its numbers.

What can you spend? Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [1] Hugging Face GPU compute starts at $0.60/hour. [4] Check each page before you commit.

Do you need the tool to cover Anthropic and OpenAI specifically? Model Odds covers both. [1] Check each other source's list of models before you rely on it.

Do you need alerts? Model Odds sends email alerts to every subscriber at the same time. [1] Check whether the other tools offer alerts.

Frequently asked questions

Which tool estimates when Anthropic or OpenAI will release a new model?

Model Odds ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. [1] It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar. [1] The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches. [1] LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] Check the other tools' pages to see whether they provide the release timing information you need.

Is Model Odds free?

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [1] You can sign up with a confirmed email to get alerts, and every subscriber gets every company's drops at the same time. [1] It is a web app that runs in the browser and needs JavaScript. [1] The website and the API share one snapshot that is cached for up to five minutes. [1]

How does Model Odds verify past launches?

Each past launch the model uses has to be confirmed by an official post and an independent timeline, and it is listed with its date. [1] Anthropic and OpenAI each get their own page that lists every past release. [1] The estimator can replay any past date without using data from after that date. [1]

Can LLM Stats track model releases?

LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. [2] The LLM Stats Score is updated continuously from public benchmarks and live API metrics. [2] The dedicated Open LLM Leaderboard filters the catalog to models with publicly released weights so you can self-host or fine-tune. [2] Check whether the model list or the weight availability answers your question.

What does Hugging Face cost to run a model?

GPU compute on Hugging Face starts at $0.60/hour. [4] Its Inference Providers give access to 45,000+ models through a single unified API with no service fees. [4] Its models page lists 3,137,122 models. [14] Check whether the model you need is available on the platform.

Can Polymarket be used from the United States?

Trading is blocked in the United States on Polymarket's main website, and United States users are directed to a separate Polymarket site. [3] Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. [3] Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. [3] Check which entity applies to your location before you trade.

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [1]

Try Model Odds

Sources

  1. Model Odds' own description of itself (the product of this site's publisher)
  2. LLM Stats, llm-stats.com, read 2026-10-18
  3. Polymarket, polymarket.com, read 2026-10-08
  4. Hugging Face, huggingface.co, read 2026-10-09
  5. Manifold, manifold.markets, read 2026-10-08
  6. Kalshi, kalshi.com, read 2026-10-08
  7. Artificial Analysis, artificialanalysis.ai, read 2026-10-08
  8. LMSYS Chatbot Arena, lmarena.ai, read 2026-10-09
  9. Vellum, vellum.ai, read 2026-10-09
  10. Latent Space, latent.space, read 2026-10-09
  11. The Rundown AI, therundown.ai, read 2026-10-09
  12. AI News by Smol AI, news.smol.ai, read 2026-10-18
  13. Epoch Models Hub, epoch.ai, read 2026-10-26
  14. Hugging Face, huggingface.co/models, read 2026-10-09

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