--- {"title": "Model Odds vs AI News by Smol AI in 2026", "description": "Model Odds and AI News by Smol AI compared on what each does, what each costs and what to check before you choose one to track AI model releases.", "url": "https://supakeeper.com/modelodds-vs-ai-news-smol/", "date": "2026-10-31"} --- Model Odds and AI News by Smol AI compared on what each does, what each costs and what to check before you choose one to track AI model releases. Model Odds gives an estimated chance of a release within 30 days for each Anthropic and OpenAI model family [^1], and it gives Anthropic and OpenAI each a page that lists every past release [^1]. AI News by Smol AI summarizes top AI Discords, Reddits and X/Twitters and sends a daily roundup [^2]. The two meet different needs. Model Odds meets the need to see which model family is more likely to come next and to check the launch record [^1] [^1]. AI News by Smol AI meets the need to keep up with community discussion in a daily digest [^2]. Pick by whether you want a forecast of a release or a daily summary of discussion. | Option | What its sources say it does | Cost | Account or install | |---|---|---|---| | AI News by Smol AI | Summarizes top AI Discords, Reddits and X/Twitters and sends a daily roundup [^2]; a customizable version is available [^2] | not published | RSS subscription option [^2]; nothing further stated in the facts | | Model Odds | Ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by estimated chance of a release within 30 days [^1]; Anthropic and OpenAI each get a page listing every past release [^1] | free, no account needed [^1] | no account [^1]; a web app that runs in the browser and needs JavaScript [^1], with a public API [^1] | ## The short answer Model Odds gives an estimated chance of a release within 30 days for each Anthropic and OpenAI model family [^1], and it gives Anthropic and OpenAI each a page that lists every past release [^1]. AI News by Smol AI summarizes top AI Discords, AI Reddits and AI X/Twitters and sends a daily roundup [^2]. The two meet different needs. Model Odds meets the need to see which model family is more likely to come next and to check the launch record [^1] [^1]. AI News by Smol AI meets the need to keep up with community discussion in a daily digest [^2]. Pick by whether you want a forecast of a release or a daily summary of discussion. ## What AI News by Smol AI is built for Its own pages say the service summarizes top AI Discords, AI Reddits and AI X/Twitters and sends a daily roundup [^2]. The service is created by @swyx and other Smol AI friends [^2]. The site provides a search feature that opens with the Cmd+K shortcut [^2]. Users can subscribe through RSS [^2]. A customizable version of the service is available [^2]. Users can reach out on social media or by sending an email [^2]. The service respects user privacy [^2]. ## What Model Odds is built for Model Odds is made by the team that publishes this site. Model Odds ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days [^1]. Anthropic and OpenAI each get their own page that lists every past release [^1]. Each past launch the model uses has to be confirmed by an official post and an independent timeline, and it is listed with its date [^1]. It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar [^1]. The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches, and it takes into account how long the current wait has already lasted [^1]. Signals read automatically from company SDKs and docs, and from third-party model catalogues when two of them agree, can only raise the odds [^1]. The estimator can replay any past date without using data from after that date [^1]. ## Pricing and fees Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed [^1]. The facts given here do not state a price for AI News by Smol AI, so it is not published here [^2]. Neither source describes any account, trial or discount for either tool, so none is stated here. The only price given in the facts for either tool is free for Model Odds [^1]. The facts here say nothing about a subscription cost for AI News by Smol AI; its RSS option is a way to receive it, not a fee [^2]. If you need the cost of AI News by Smol AI for your own use, check its own pages, since the facts here do not state one. ## Setting it up and daily use Model Odds is a web app that runs in the browser and needs JavaScript [^1]. It is a website with a public API [^1], and no account is needed [^1]. The website and the API share one snapshot that is cached for up to five minutes [^1]. You can sign up with a confirmed email to get alerts, and every subscriber gets every company's drops at the same time [^1]. The API serves per-line odds, the launch record and service health [^1]. For AI News by Smol AI, the facts describe what the service sends each day [^2] and that users can subscribe by RSS [^2] or use a customizable version [^2]. The facts here say nothing more about installing or setting anything up for either tool, so check the tools' own pages for anything further. ## Things to check before you choose Ask what you need the tool to tell you. Model Odds gives a release likelihood for Anthropic and OpenAI model families [^1], while AI News by Smol AI sends a daily summary of community discussion [^2]. Ask whether you want alerts. Model Odds sends emails at the same time to every subscriber [^1], and AI News by Smol AI sends a daily roundup [^2], but the facts here say nothing about how often you can choose to receive either, so check each tool's own pages. Ask whether you need historical detail. Model Odds lists every past release with its date, confirmed by an official post and an independent timeline [^1] [^1], while the facts here say nothing about a history on AI News by Smol AI, so check its pages. Check what your browser and machine need. Model Odds runs in the browser and needs JavaScript [^1]. ## How to choose The two tools answer different questions. If you want a forecast of which Anthropic or OpenAI model family is more likely to be released in the next 30 days, Model Odds is built for that [^1]. If you want a daily summary of top AI discussion across Discords, Reddits and X/Twitters, AI News by Smol AI is built for that [^2]. If you want a launch record confirmed by official posts, Model Odds lists past releases with dates [^1]. If you want the discussion summarized rather than predicted, AI News by Smol AI covers it in a roundup [^2]. If you want alerts without an account, Model Odds is free with no account [^1], and AI News by Smol AI offers an RSS subscription [^2]. ## Frequently asked questions ### Is Model Odds free to use? Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed [^1]. It is a web app that runs in the browser and needs JavaScript [^1]. Its API serves per-line odds, the launch record and service health [^1]. The facts here give no other price for Model Odds. ### Does AI News by Smol AI cost anything? The facts given here do not state a price for AI News by Smol AI [^2]. The service summarizes top AI Discords, Reddits and X/Twitters and sends a daily roundup [^2], but its pages do not state a fee in the facts here. Check its own pages if you need the cost. ### Can Model Odds estimate when a model will be released? Yes. Model Odds ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days [^1]. The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches, and it takes into account how long the current wait has already lasted [^1]. ### What does AI News by Smol AI deliver? AI News by Smol AI summarizes top AI Discords, AI Reddits and AI X/Twitters and sends a daily roundup [^2]. It is created by @swyx and other Smol AI friends [^2]. Users can subscribe by RSS [^2] and reach out on social media or by email [^2]. ### Can Model Odds data be used without signing up? Yes, no account is needed [^1]. The API serves per-line odds, the launch record and service health [^1]. The website and API share one snapshot cached for up to five minutes [^1], so the figures can be up to five minutes old. Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. [^1] - [Visit Model Odds](/go/start-modelodds) ## Sources [^1]: Model Odds' own description of itself (the product of this site's publisher) (/go/start-modelodds) [^2]: AI News by Smol AI, news.smol.ai, read 2026-10-18 (https://news.smol.ai)