Best AI model release trackers for AI industry analysts in 2026

Compare Polymarket, Artificial Analysis, LLM Stats, LMSYS Chatbot Arena and Model Odds for tracking AI model releases.

By SupaKeeper · 2026-10-28

SupaKeeper is published by LunarWerx, which makes some of the tools compared here.

The right tool depends on which release question an analyst needs answered. Polymarket describes itself as a prediction market. ^[1] Artificial Analysis compares models side by side on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency and benchmarks. ^[2] LLM Stats ranks many models by intelligence, speed and price. ^[3] Model Odds gives an estimated chance that an Anthropic or OpenAI model family releases within 30 days. ^[4]

Option	What the tool does	Price as stated
Polymarket	Describes itself as the world's largest prediction market. ^[1]	not published
Artificial Analysis	Compares models side by side on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more. ^[2]	not published
LLM Stats	Ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. ^[3]	not published
LMSYS Chatbot Arena	Lets you compare 2 models side by side. ^[5]	not published
Model Odds	Ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. ^[4]	Free, no account. ^[4]

What AI industry analysts need from AI model release trackers

An AI industry analyst tracks what the model labs are doing. Two practical jobs stand out: spotting when a lab is about to ship a new model, and keeping a record of what has already shipped. Both jobs face the same limit: a lab does not publish a schedule, so anyone tracking releases works from cues and estimates.

The tools differ in what they measure. Prediction markets turn expectation into a price that moves as news lands. Benchmark boards rank models that are already out. A release tracker tries to say how likely a new release is in the near term.

No tool removes the analyst's job of deciding what a number means. A trading price reflects what participants are willing to risk, not what a lab will do. A rank reflects tests already run, not what ships next. A chance is an estimate built on past releases, not a promise. Each answers part of the question, and the sections below say exactly what each source states.

Polymarket for AI industry analysts

Check the wording of each contract to see the exact event it pays on, because a change in wording changes what the price means.

Artificial Analysis for AI industry analysts

Artificial Analysis lets users compare models side by side on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more. ^[2] It tracks Image Arena and Video Arena leaderboards with 95% confidence intervals. ^[2] Its Cyber Index v1 incorporates 3 evaluations. ^[2]

The comparison tools put models that already exist next to each other. Check whether the figure the analyst needs, such as a coding or safety score, is among the evaluations a published index covers, because each index measures its own set.

LLM Stats for AI industry analysts

LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. ^[3] It tracks 408 canonical models across every major lab and inference provider. ^[3] Every score is sourced from public benchmarks and live API metrics. ^[3]

This gives the analyst a broad catalog of what is already out and how recent models compare. It ranks what has shipped; it does not say what ships next.

LMSYS Chatbot Arena for AI industry analysts

LMSYS Chatbot Arena lets you compare 2 models side by side. ^[5] You can battle 2 anonymous models. ^[5] It lets you chat directly with 1 model at a time. ^[5]

For an analyst, the side-by-side comparisons show how two current models behave when used. This is a place to see what already exists being used, not where a lab announces what is next.

Model Odds for AI industry analysts

Model Odds is made by the team that publishes this site. It ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. ^[4] Anthropic and OpenAI each get their own page that lists every past release. ^[4]

The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches, and it takes into account how long the current wait has already lasted. ^[4] It runs three estimators side by side and publishes the spread between them as the error bar. ^[4] Signals read automatically from company SDKs and docs, and from third-party model catalogues when two of them agree, can only raise the odds. ^[4] So a published chance can move only up as release signals arrive.

Each past launch has to be confirmed by an official post and an independent timeline, and it is listed with its date. ^[4] The estimator can replay any past date without using data from after that date. ^[4] You can sign up with a confirmed email to get alerts, and every subscriber gets every company's drops at the same time. ^[4]

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. ^[4] It is a website with a public API. ^[4] An API serves per-line odds, the launch record and service health. ^[4] It is a web app that runs in the browser and needs JavaScript. ^[4] The website and the API share one snapshot that is cached for up to five minutes. ^[4]

Matching the tool to the job

To estimate the chance that a lab ships within 30 days, Model Odds ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by that chance. ^[4] Polymarket describes itself as a prediction market. ^[1]

To build release odds into the analyst's own tools, Model Odds has a public API that serves per-line odds, the launch record and service health. ^[4] It is free, with no account. ^[4]

To compare models that are already out, Artificial Analysis compares them side by side on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency and benchmarks. ^[2] LLM Stats ranks many models by intelligence, speed and price. ^[3] LMSYS Chatbot Arena lets you compare 2 models side by side. ^[5]

The jobs call for different tools. A chance of what ships next is not the same as a ranking of what already exists, and no single tool here covers it all. Match the tool to the question in front of you.

Questions to ask before you choose

Which question do you need answered: will a specific lab ship soon, or what has already shipped?

Do you want a chance you can read per model family, or a rank you can compare across many models? Model Odds gives a chance for each Anthropic and OpenAI family. ^[4] LLM Stats ranks models by intelligence, speed and price. ^[3]

How fresh must the data be? The Model Odds website and API share a snapshot cached for up to five minutes. ^[4] Check how each source updates its figures.

Will you use the numbers in your own analysis? Ask whether a tool has a public API or a feed you can pull.

Do the markets you might use face legal limits? Polymarket's international platform is not regulated by the CFTC. ^[1] Check the terms that apply to you.

A chance is not a promise. Ask how a tool arrived at its number before you rely on it.

Frequently asked questions

Which tool estimates when a lab releases a new model?

Model Odds ranks every Anthropic and OpenAI model family by its estimated chance of a release within 30 days. ^[4] The estimate is a renewal process fitted on the gaps between recent launches, and it counts the wait already spent. ^[4] It is free and needs no account. ^[4] Polymarket describes itself as the world's largest prediction market. ^[1] Check a contract's wording if the analyst wants that number instead.

Is Model Odds free?

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. ^[4] An API serves per-line odds, the launch record and service health. ^[4] You can sign up with a confirmed email to get alerts, and every subscriber gets every company's drops at the same time. ^[4] It is a website with a public API. ^[4] Check its page for any change in terms.

How does LLM Stats rank AI models?

LLM Stats ranks GPT, Claude, Gemini, Llama, DeepSeek, Qwen, Mistral, GLM and more by intelligence, speed and price. ^[3] Every score is sourced from public benchmarks and live API metrics. ^[3] It tracks 408 canonical models across every major lab and inference provider. ^[3] This ranks what is already out, so check it for the current field rather than for what ships next.

What does Polymarket show about releases?

Polymarket describes itself as the world's largest prediction market. ^[1] It operates globally through separate legal entities. ^[1] Its international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. ^[1] On such a market the price of a contract reads as the expectation that the stated event happens. Check the exact event each contract pays on, because the price means what that event wording says.

Can a tool compare two AI models side by side?

LMSYS Chatbot Arena lets you compare 2 models side by side. ^[5] You can battle 2 anonymous models. ^[5] Artificial Analysis compares models side by side on intelligence, pricing, speed, latency, benchmarks and more. ^[2] These tools show how current models behave when used, not which lab ships next, so pair them with a release tracker for the other question.

Model Odds is free, and so is its API, with no account needed. ^[4]

Try Model Odds